Braunschweig vs Hannover — 2. Bundesliga forecast, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Braunschweig
33%
Draw
25%
Hannover
42%
Expected goals
1.42–1.67
Braunschweig · Hannover
Hannover win 42% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.5%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (8.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 62% of simulations.
Those three cover 28% of outcomes; the other 72% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Braunschweig score at least twice in 42%; Hannover in 49%.
Scoreline distribution
Hannover goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 6.2 | 11.5 | 8.3 | 4.9 | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| 2 | 4.8 | 8.5 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| 3 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Braunschweig goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 28% | 25% | 48% |
| Market reference | 33% | 25% | 42% |
| Metis Forecast | 33% | 25% | 42% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Braunschweig | 2.85 |
| Draw | 3.78 |
| Hannover | 2.31 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 23 Oct · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Braunschweig
| 8 Aug | A | vs Magdeburg | 6–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Bochum | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Hertha | 3–5 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Osnabruck | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Dresden | 2–2 | D |
Hannover
| 9 Aug | A | vs Cottbus | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Wolfsburg | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Darmstadt | 1–0 | W |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Karlsruhe | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Sept | A | vs Nurnberg | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Braunschweig (Home · 4 matches) | Hannover (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.50 | 2.75 |
Home stats use Braunschweig's home record; away stats use Hannover's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.