Braunschweig vs Dresden — 2. Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 2.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Braunschweig
36%
Draw
26%
result
Dresden
38%
top pick
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 25.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Dresden win. Expected goals 1.57–1.60 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.7%), 1–2 (8.7%), 2–1 (7.8%). It finished 2–2.
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Braunschweig
| 8 Aug | A | vs Magdeburg | 6–1 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | vs Bochum | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | vs Hertha | 3–5 | L |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Osnabruck | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Dresden | 2–2 | D |
Dresden
| 9 Aug | A | vs Nurnberg | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Darmstadt | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Heidenheim | 3–5 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Bochum | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Braunschweig | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Braunschweig (Home · 5 matches) | Dresden (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 83.3% |
| Clean sheet | 40.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.20 | 3.83 |
Home stats use Braunschweig's home record; away stats use Dresden's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.