Hamburg vs Bayern Munich — Bundesliga forecast, Saturday, 28 November 2026
Bundesliga·Saturday, 28 November 2026·14:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Hamburg | 14.43 |
| Draw | 10.60 |
| Bayern Munich | 1.12 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 15 Nov · 04:31 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Hamburg
| 29 Aug | A | vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Mainz 05 | 0–5 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs RasenBallsport Leipzig | 0–5 | L |
| 19 Sept | H | vs FC Cologne | 2–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | vs Hoffenheim | 3–2 | W |
Bayern Munich
| 28 Aug | H | vs VfB Stuttgart | 5–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Schalke 04 | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Elversberg | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Sept | H | vs Union Berlin | 7–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | vs Augsburg | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Hamburg (Home · 4 matches) | Bayern Munich (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 2.80 |
Home stats use Hamburg's home record; away stats use Bayern Munich's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.