🇩🇪 Bundesliga·Saturday, 29 August 2026·13:30
Metis Forecast
model onlyElversberg
37%
Draw
26%
Bayer Leverkusen
37%
Elversberg 1.52 xGexpected goals1.53 xG Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen win 37% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 62% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.9%).
Elversberg score at least twice in 45%; Bayer Leverkusen in 45%.
1–1 11.9%1–2 8.4%2–1 8.4%2–2 6.4%0–1 6.3%1–0 6.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 6.3 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.3 | 11.9 | 8.4 | 4.3 | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 5.4 | 8.4 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 4.2 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Elversberg goals · columns = Bayer Leverkusen goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score62%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Elversberg clean sheet22%
Bayer Leverkusen clean sheet22%
Elversberg score 2+45%
Bayer Leverkusen score 2+45%
Elversberg score 3+20%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Bayer Leverkusen
| 23 Aug | H | vs Hoffenheim | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Werder Bremen | 3–3 | D |
| 12 Sept | H | vs Eintracht Frankfurt | 3–1 | W |
| 21 Sept | H | vs Borussia M.Gladbach | 1–1 | D |
| 27 Sept | A | vs St. Pauli | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Elversberg (Home) | Bayer Leverkusen (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 64.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 64.7% |
| Clean sheet | — | 11.8% |
| Avg goals | — | 3.41 |
Home stats use Elversberg's home record; away stats use Bayer Leverkusen's away record this season.