Bayer Leverkusen vs Paderborn — Bundesliga forecast, Saturday, 21 November 2026
Bundesliga·Saturday, 21 November 2026·14:30
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 1.23 |
| Draw | 7.21 |
| Paderborn | 9.10 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 08 Nov · 05:14 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Bayer Leverkusen
| 29 Aug | A | vs Elversberg | 2–3 | L |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Union Berlin | 4–0 | W |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Augsburg | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sept | H | vs RasenBallsport Leipzig | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | A | vs Mainz 05 | 4–3 | W |
Paderborn
| 29 Aug | A | vs Mainz 05 | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Freiburg | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Sept | A | vs Borussia Dortmund | 0–3 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Hoffenheim | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Oct | H | vs VfB Stuttgart | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Bayer Leverkusen (Home · 4 matches) | Paderborn (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 25.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.75 | 1.75 |
Home stats use Bayer Leverkusen's home record; away stats use Paderborn's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.