Slavia Sofia vs CSKA 1948 — Bulgarian First League result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 18 September 2026

Bulgarian First League·Friday, 18 September 2026·17:00

Slavia Sofia

1 – 2

CSKA 1948

Slavia SofiaExpected goalsCSKA 1948
1.00 xG1.33 xG

Metis pre-match forecast

Independent model — no market price

Frozen as published · 13.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.

Slavia Sofia

27%

Draw

30%

CSKA 1948

43%

pick · result

Final score

1–2

Top pick landed

Metis gave a CSKA 1948 win 43.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a CSKA 1948 win. Expected goals 1.00–1.33 against 1–2 actual.

Forecast against the result

Over 2.5 goals41%3 scored
Both teams score48%yes
Slavia Sofia clean sheet27%no
CSKA 1948 clean sheet37%no
Slavia Sofia score 2+27%no
CSKA 1948 score 2+38%yes

How this forecast scored

Ranked probability score0.1993
1X2 Brier score0.4872
Probability on the result43.0%

Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.

Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.0%), 0–1 (11.9%), 0–0 (10.8%). It finished 1–2.

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Slavia Sofia

18 SeptHvs CSKA 19481–2L

CSKA 1948

18 SeptAvs Slavia Sofia2–1W

Head to head

No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.