Septemvri Sofia vs Botev Plovdiv — Bulgarian First League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Septemvri Sofia
0 – 3
Botev Plovdiv
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 9.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Septemvri Sofia
21%
Draw
26%
Botev Plovdiv
54%
pick · result
Final score
0–3
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Botev Plovdiv win 53.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Botev Plovdiv win. Expected goals 0.92–1.52 against 0–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 0–1 (14.2%), 1–1 (12.2%), 1–2 (10.9%). It finished 0–3.
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Septemvri Sofia
| 19 Sept | H | vs Botev Plovdiv | 0–3 | L |
Botev Plovdiv
| 19 Sept | A | vs Septemvri Sofia | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.