Ludogorets vs CSKA 1948 — Bulgarian First League forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Ludogorets
vs
16:30
CSKA 1948
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Ludogorets
58%
Draw
25%
CSKA 1948
18%
Expected goals
1.69–0.90
Ludogorets · CSKA 1948
Ludogorets win 58% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (13.3%), 1–1 (11.7%), 2–1 (11.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
Those three cover 36% of outcomes; the other 64% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Ludogorets score at least twice in 51%; CSKA 1948 in 22%.
Scoreline distribution
CSKA 1948 goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 13.3 | 11.7 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.1 | 11.1 | 4.2 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Ludogorets goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 48% | 28% | 24% |
| Market reference | 58% | 25% | 18% |
| Metis Forecast | 58% | 25% | 18% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
No recent results.
CSKA 1948
| 18 Sept | A | vs Slavia Sofia | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.