Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA 1948 — Bulgarian First League forecast, Saturday, 7 November 2026
Ludogorets Razgrad
vs
16:30
CSKA 1948
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Ludogorets Razgrad
59%
Draw
23%
CSKA 1948
17%
Expected goals
1.61–0.96
Ludogorets Razgrad · CSKA 1948
Ludogorets Razgrad win 59% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–0 (15.8%), 2–1 (14.3%), 1–1 (11.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 52% of simulations.
Those three cover 41% of outcomes; the other 59% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Ludogorets Razgrad score at least twice in 50%; CSKA 1948 in 24%.
Scoreline distribution
CSKA 1948 goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 15.8 | 11.1 | 3.7 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 10.2 | 14.3 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.9 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Ludogorets Razgrad goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 30% | 28% | 42% |
| Market reference | 59% | 23% | 17% |
| Metis Forecast | 59% | 23% | 17% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
No recent results.
CSKA 1948
| 18 Sept | A | vs Slavia Sofia | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.