Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs CSKA Sofia — Bulgarian First League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1 – 1
CSKA Sofia
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 6.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
14%
Draw
25%
result
CSKA Sofia
61%
top pick
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 25.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a CSKA Sofia win. Expected goals 0.67–1.52 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 0–1 (19.3%), 0–2 (13.3%), 1–1 (11.3%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
| 20 Sept | H | vs CSKA Sofia | 1–1 | D |
CSKA Sofia
| 20 Sept | A | vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.