Dunav Ruse vs Levski Sofia — Bulgarian First League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Dunav Ruse
vs
14:30
Levski Sofia
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Dunav Ruse
8%
Draw
15%
Levski Sofia
77%
Expected goals
0.66–2.06
Dunav Ruse · Levski Sofia
Levski Sofia win 77% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 0–1 (16.5%), 0–2 (15.3%), 1–2 (12.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 44% of simulations.
Those three cover 45% of outcomes; the other 55% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Dunav Ruse score at least twice in 14%; Levski Sofia in 64%.
Scoreline distribution
Levski Sofia goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 16.5 | 15.3 | 8.9 | 3.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 | 2.7 | 7.1 | 12.8 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 1.3 | 2.2 | 2.4 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Rows: Dunav Ruse goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 15% | 25% | 59% |
| Market reference | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| Metis Forecast | 8% | 15% | 77% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Dunav Ruse
| 19 Sept | H | vs Botev Vratsa | 2–2 | D |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.