Dunav Ruse vs Botev Vratsa — Bulgarian First League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Dunav Ruse
2 – 2
Botev Vratsa
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 7.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Dunav Ruse
33%
Draw
30%
result
Botev Vratsa
37%
top pick
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 30.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Botev Vratsa win. Expected goals 1.18–1.30 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.4%), 0–0 (9.7%), 0–1 (9.4%). It finished 2–2.
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Dunav Ruse
| 19 Sept | H | vs Botev Vratsa | 2–2 | D |
Botev Vratsa
| 19 Sept | A | vs Dunav Ruse | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.