RAAL La Louviere vs Mechelen — Belgian Pro League result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 29 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · under an hour before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
RAAL La Louviere
38%
top pick
Draw
30%
result
Mechelen
32%
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 30.0% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a RAAL La Louviere win. Expected goals 1.36–1.23 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (14.3%), 1–0 (9.1%), 0–0 (8.9%). It finished 2–2.
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RAAL La Louviere
| 9 Aug | A | vs Anderlecht | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Gent | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Aug | A | vs Standard Liege | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Mechelen | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sept | A | vs St Truiden | 0–4 | L |
Mechelen
| 9 Aug | A | vs Gent | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Standard Liege | 3–3 | D |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Charleroi | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs RAAL La Louviere | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Westerlo | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | RAAL La Louviere (Home · 3 matches) | Mechelen (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 25.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 25.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.33 | 2.00 |
Home stats use RAAL La Louviere's home record; away stats use Mechelen's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.