Club Brugge vs Antwerp — Belgian Pro League result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 27.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Club Brugge
77%
pick · result
Draw
14%
Antwerp
9%
Final score
3–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Club Brugge win 77.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Club Brugge win. Expected goals 2.80–0.85 against 3–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (10.1%), 3–0 (9.6%), 2–1 (8.5%). It finished 3–1.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Club Brugge
| 7 Aug | H | vs Kortrijk | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Cercle Brugge | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Gent | 1–2 | L |
| 4 Sept | A | vs Lommel SK | 1–0 | W |
Antwerp
| 9 Aug | H | vs Beveren | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Kortrijk | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Genk | 4–4 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs St Truiden | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Standard Liege | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Club Brugge (Home · 5 matches) | Antwerp (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 40.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.20 | 3.40 |
Home stats use Club Brugge's home record; away stats use Antwerp's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.