Cercle Brugge vs Antwerp — Belgian Pro League forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Cercle Brugge
51%
Draw
23%
Antwerp
26%
Expected goals
1.70–1.22
Cercle Brugge · Antwerp
Cercle Brugge win 51% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (10.7%), 1–0 (9.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Cercle Brugge win is 2–1 (10.7%).
Cercle Brugge score at least twice in 52%; Antwerp in 34%.
Scoreline distribution
Antwerp goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.7 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.3 | 10.8 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 10.7 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 4.3 | 5.6 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.7 | 2.2 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Cercle Brugge goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 43% | 26% | 31% |
| Market reference | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| Metis Forecast | 51% | 23% | 26% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.90 |
| Draw | 4.06 |
| Antwerp | 3.56 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Cercle Brugge
| 8 Aug | A | vs Standard Liege | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Aug | H | vs St Truiden | 3–3 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Club Brugge | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Lommel SK | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Gent | 0–3 | L |
Antwerp
| 9 Aug | H | vs Beveren | 2–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Kortrijk | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Genk | 4–4 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs St Truiden | 1–4 | L |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Standard Liege | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Cercle Brugge (Home · 4 matches) | Antwerp (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 3.50 |
Home stats use Cercle Brugge's home record; away stats use Antwerp's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.