Anderlecht vs Westerlo — Belgian Pro League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Anderlecht
62%
Draw
20%
Westerlo
18%
Expected goals
1.97–1.07
Anderlecht · Westerlo
Anderlecht win 62% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–1 (12.0%), 1–0 (10.2%), 2–0 (9.9%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 32% of outcomes; the other 68% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Anderlecht score at least twice in 60%; Westerlo in 29%.
Scoreline distribution
Westerlo goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.2 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 12.0 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.8 | 7.0 | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Anderlecht goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 49% | 25% | 26% |
| Market reference | 62% | 20% | 18% |
| Metis Forecast | 62% | 20% | 18% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Anderlecht
| 30 Aug | A | vs Union SG | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | vs RAAL La Louviere | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Beveren | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | vs St. Gilloise | 0–3 | L |
| 3 Sept | H | vs Kortrijk | 1–0 | W |
Westerlo
| 8 Aug | H | vs St. Gilloise | 1–5 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Genk | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Lommel SK | 0–4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Waregem | 2–2 | D |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Mechelen | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Anderlecht (Home · 4 matches) | Westerlo (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | 25.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 75.0% | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | 1.75 | 3.75 |
Home stats use Anderlecht's home record; away stats use Westerlo's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.