Western Sydney Wanderers vs Adelaide United — A-League forecast, Friday, 20 November 2026
Western Sydney Wanderers
vs
08:40
Adelaide United
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Western Sydney Wanderers
57%
Draw
22%
Adelaide United
21%
Expected goals
1.90–1.24
Western Sydney Wanderers · Adelaide United
Western Sydney Wanderers win 57% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–1 (12.4%), 1–1 (10.0%), 1–0 (9.1%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 62% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Western Sydney Wanderers score at least twice in 59%; Adelaide United in 34%.
Scoreline distribution
Adelaide United goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.1 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 12.4 | 5.6 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Rows: Western Sydney Wanderers goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market reference | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Metis Forecast | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.