Sydney FC vs Central Coast — A-League forecast, Friday, 6 November 2026
Sydney FC
vs
08:40
Central Coast
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Sydney FC
66%
Draw
20%
Central Coast
14%
Expected goals
1.93–0.95
Sydney FC · Central Coast
Sydney FC win 66% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–1 (13.8%), 1–0 (12.9%), 2–0 (11.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Those three cover 38% of outcomes; the other 62% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Sydney FC score at least twice in 60%; Central Coast in 24%.
Scoreline distribution
Central Coast goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.3 | 3.1 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.9 | 9.5 | 3.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.2 | 13.8 | 4.2 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.9 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.3 | 2.8 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Sydney FC goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 44% | 27% | 29% |
| Market reference | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| Metis Forecast | 66% | 20% | 14% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
What changed overnight?
vs previous runxG 1.97–0.92 → 1.93–0.95
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.