Perth Glory vs Adelaide United — A-League forecast, Sunday, 1 November 2026
Perth Glory
vs
09:00
Adelaide United
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Perth Glory
33%
Draw
27%
Adelaide United
40%
Expected goals
1.34–1.58
Perth Glory · Adelaide United
Adelaide United win 40% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.5%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (8.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Perth Glory score at least twice in 39%; Adelaide United in 46%.
Scoreline distribution
Adelaide United goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 6.9 | 6.5 | 3.7 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 | 7.0 | 12.5 | 8.0 | 4.6 | 2.0 | 0.9 |
| 2 | 4.9 | 8.5 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Perth Glory goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 27% | 26% | 48% |
| Market reference | 33% | 27% | 40% |
| Metis Forecast | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.