Macarthur FC vs Western Sydney — A-League forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Macarthur FC
vs
08:40
Western Sydney
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Macarthur FC
42%
Draw
25%
Western Sydney
33%
Expected goals
1.57–1.34
Macarthur FC · Western Sydney
Macarthur FC win 42% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.8%), 2–1 (8.6%), 1–2 (8.3%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Macarthur FC score at least twice in 46%; Western Sydney in 39%.
Scoreline distribution
Western Sydney goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.1 | 6.9 | 5.1 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 11.8 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 8.6 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Macarthur FC goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market reference | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Metis Forecast | 42% | 25% | 33% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.