Macarthur FC vs Brisbane Roar — A-League forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Macarthur FC
vs
04:00
Brisbane Roar
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Macarthur FC
39%
Draw
25%
Brisbane Roar
35%
Expected goals
1.53–1.33
Macarthur FC · Brisbane Roar
Macarthur FC win 39% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.9%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–1 (8.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Macarthur FC score at least twice in 44%; Brisbane Roar in 39%.
Scoreline distribution
Brisbane Roar goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.4 | 8.0 | 5.4 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 6.9 | 11.9 | 9.3 | 3.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.6 | 7.6 | 5.5 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Macarthur FC goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 50% | 26% | 25% |
| Market reference | 39% | 25% | 35% |
| Metis Forecast | 39% | 25% | 35% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.