🇹🇷 Süper Lig·Sunday, 30 August 2026·18:30
Metis Forecast
model onlyBasaksehir
55%
Draw
25%
Kasimpasa SK
20%
Basaksehir 1.74 xGexpected goals1.10 xG Kasimpasa SK
Basaksehir win 55% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.1%).
Basaksehir score at least twice in 52%; Kasimpasa SK in 30%.
1–1 12.1%2–1 9.7%1–0 9.3%2–0 8.8%0–0 6.7%1–2 6.2%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.3 | 12.1 | 6.2 | 2.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.8 | 9.7 | 5.4 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.1 | 5.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Basaksehir goals · columns = Kasimpasa SK goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals78%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals16%
Basaksehir clean sheet33%
Kasimpasa SK clean sheet18%
Basaksehir score 2+52%
Kasimpasa SK score 2+30%
Basaksehir score 3+25%
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Recent form
Basaksehir
| 17 Aug | H | vs Kayserispor | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | vs Eyupspor | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Besiktas | 1–2 | L |
| 17 Sept | A | vs Fatih Karagumruk | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sept | H | vs Alanyaspor | 1–1 | D |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Basaksehir (Home) | Kasimpasa SK (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 58.8% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 58.8% | — |
| Clean sheet | 41.2% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.94 | — |
Home stats use Basaksehir's home record; away stats use Kasimpasa SK's away record this season.