🇮🇹 Serie A·Sunday, 30 August 2026·18:45
Metis Forecast
model onlyCagliari
41%
Draw
29%
Inter Milan
30%
Cagliari 1.37 xGexpected goals1.13 xG Inter Milan
Cagliari win 41% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 51% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.7%).
Cagliari score at least twice in 40%; Inter Milan in 31%.
1–1 13.7%1–0 10.2%0–0 9.3%2–1 8.7%0–1 8.3%2–0 7.7%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.2 | 8.3 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.2 | 13.7 | 7.2 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Cagliari goals · columns = Inter Milan goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score51%
Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals24%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Cagliari clean sheet32%
Inter Milan clean sheet25%
Cagliari score 2+40%
Inter Milan score 2+31%
Cagliari score 3+16%
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Recent form
Cagliari
| 24 Aug | H | vs Fiorentina | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Napoli | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Parma | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Lecce | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Sept | H | vs Inter | 0–2 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Cagliari (Home) | Inter Milan (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 36.8% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 36.8% | — |
| Clean sheet | 31.6% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.37 | — |
Home stats use Cagliari's home record; away stats use Inter Milan's away record this season.