🇮🇹 Serie A·Monday, 31 August 2026·18:45
Metis Forecast
model onlyAtalanta BC
34%
Draw
28%
Bologna
38%
Atalanta BC 1.26 xGexpected goals1.35 xG Bologna
Bologna win 38% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.5%).
Atalanta BC score at least twice in 36%; Bologna in 39%.
1–1 13.5%0–1 9.0%1–2 8.4%0–0 8.4%1–0 8.3%2–1 7.9%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.4 | 9.0 | 6.7 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.3 | 13.5 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 5.8 | 7.9 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Atalanta BC goals · columns = Bologna goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score54%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Atalanta BC clean sheet26%
Bologna clean sheet28%
Atalanta BC score 2+36%
Bologna score 2+39%
Atalanta BC score 3+13%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Bologna
| 23 Aug | A | vs AS Roma | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Como | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs AC Milan | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Genoa | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Sept | A | vs Lecce | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Atalanta BC (Home) | Bologna (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 57.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 52.6% |
| Clean sheet | — | 26.3% |
| Avg goals | — | 2.79 |
Home stats use Atalanta BC's home record; away stats use Bologna's away record this season.