🇳🇴 Eliteserien·Sunday, 30 August 2026·15:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyTromso
58%
Draw
24%
Sarpsborg FK
18%
Tromso 1.90 xGexpected goals1.06 xG Sarpsborg FK
Tromso win 58% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.3%).
Tromso score at least twice in 57%; Sarpsborg FK in 28%.
1–1 11.3%2–1 9.9%2–0 9.4%1–0 9.0%3–1 6.3%0–0 6.0%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.0 | 4.6 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 9.0 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.4 | 9.9 | 5.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 6.0 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.8 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Tromso goals · columns = Sarpsborg FK goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Over 4.5 goals18%
Tromso clean sheet35%
Sarpsborg FK clean sheet15%
Tromso score 2+57%
Sarpsborg FK score 2+28%
Tromso score 3+30%
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Recent form
Tromso
| 15 Mar | H | vs Fredrikstad | 4–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Brann | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | H | vs Rosenborg | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Kristiansund | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Apr | H | vs Lillestrom | 0–0 | D |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Tromso (Home) | Sarpsborg FK (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 22.2% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 44.4% | — |
| Clean sheet | 66.7% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.78 | — |
Home stats use Tromso's home record; away stats use Sarpsborg FK's away record this season.