🇳🇴 Eliteserien·Sunday, 30 August 2026·15:00

Ham-Kam

15:00

— vs 14th

DLLWL

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Ham-Kam	1.84	1.84
Draw	3.63	3.63
Kristiansund	4.31	4.31

Metis Forecast

model + market

Ham-Kam

52%

Draw

26%

Kristiansund

22%

Ham-Kam 1.84 xGexpected goals1.18 xG Kristiansund

Ham-Kam win 52% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 60% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.1%).

Ham-Kam score at least twice in 55%; Kristiansund in 33%.

1–1 12.1%2–1 10.2%1–0 8.3%2–0 8.2%2–2 6.2%3–1 6.1%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	5.9	4.3	3.1	1.3	0.4	0.1
1	8.3	12.1	5.6	2.3	0.7	0.2
2	8.2	10.2	6.2	2.1	0.6	0.2
3	4.9	6.1	3.8	1.5	0.4	0.1
4	2.2	2.7	1.7	0.7	0.2	0.1
5+	1.1	1.3	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0

rows = Ham-Kam goals · columns = Kristiansund goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score60%

Over 1.5 goals81%

Over 2.5 goals58%

Over 3.5 goals36%

Over 4.5 goals19%

Ham-Kam clean sheet31%

Kristiansund clean sheet15%

Ham-Kam score 2+55%

Kristiansund score 2+33%

Ham-Kam score 3+28%

Model vs market

Source	Ham-Kam	Draw	Kristiansund
Raw Metis model	49%	25%	26%
Market (de-vigged)	52%	26%	22%
Metis Forecast	52%	26%	22%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

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Recent form

No recent results.

Kristiansund

15 Mar	H	vs Brann	3–2	W
6 Apr	H	vs Bodo/Glimt	0–3	L
11 Apr	A	vs Tromso	0–2	L
19 Apr	H	vs Fredrikstad	2–0	W
26 Apr	A	vs Aalesund	1–1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Ham-Kam (Home)	Kristiansund (Away)
BTTS rate	—	44.4%
Over 2.5 rate	—	44.4%
Clean sheet	—	0.0%
Avg goals	—	2.33

Home stats use Ham-Kam's home record; away stats use Kristiansund's away record this season.

Kristiansund →🇳🇴 Eliteserien standings & fixtures