🇵🇱 Ekstraklasa·Sunday, 30 August 2026·12:45
Metis Forecast
model onlyRaków Częstochowa
42%
Draw
28%
Jagiellonia Białystok
30%
Raków Częstochowa 1.46 xGexpected goals1.19 xG Jagiellonia Białystok
Raków Częstochowa win 42% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.3%).
Raków Częstochowa score at least twice in 43%; Jagiellonia Białystok in 33%.
1–1 13.3%1–0 9.4%2–1 9.0%0–0 8.1%2–0 7.6%0–1 7.4%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1 | 7.4 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.4 | 13.3 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.6 | 9.0 | 5.3 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.4 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Raków Częstochowa goals · columns = Jagiellonia Białystok goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score54%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Raków Częstochowa clean sheet31%
Jagiellonia Białystok clean sheet23%
Raków Częstochowa score 2+43%
Jagiellonia Białystok score 2+33%
Raków Częstochowa score 3+18%
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Head to head
No previous meetings found.