🇩🇰 Danish Superliga·Sunday, 30 August 2026·14:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyRanders
43%
Draw
26%
AGF Aarhus
31%
Randers 1.60 xGexpected goals1.34 xG AGF Aarhus
Randers win 43% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.2%).
Randers score at least twice in 48%; AGF Aarhus in 39%.
1–1 12.2%2–1 9.1%1–2 7.6%1–0 7.5%2–0 6.8%0–0 6.2%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 12.2 | 7.6 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 9.1 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 4.8 | 3.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Randers goals · columns = AGF Aarhus goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score60%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Over 4.5 goals18%
Randers clean sheet26%
AGF Aarhus clean sheet20%
Randers score 2+48%
AGF Aarhus score 2+39%
Randers score 3+22%
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Randers
| 27 Jul | H | vs Silkeborg | 1–1 | D |
| 2 Aug | A | vs FC Nordsjaelland | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Lyngby | 2–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs FC Copenhagen | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Midtjylland | 0–1 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Randers (Home) | AGF Aarhus (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | — |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | — |
Home stats use Randers's home record; away stats use AGF Aarhus's away record this season.