🇩🇰 Danish Superliga·Wednesday, 2 September 2026·18:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyAGF Aarhus
28%
Draw
25%
Midtjylland
47%
AGF Aarhus 1.29 xGexpected goals1.75 xG Midtjylland
Midtjylland win 47% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 61% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.7%).
AGF Aarhus score at least twice in 37%; Midtjylland in 52%.
1–1 11.7%1–2 9.4%0–1 7.5%0–2 7.3%2–1 7.0%2–2 6.1%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 7.5 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 1.9 | 0.9 |
| 1 | 5.3 | 11.7 | 9.4 | 5.5 | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 2 | 4.0 | 7.0 | 6.1 | 3.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = AGF Aarhus goals · columns = Midtjylland goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score61%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Over 4.5 goals19%
AGF Aarhus clean sheet17%
Midtjylland clean sheet27%
AGF Aarhus score 2+37%
Midtjylland score 2+52%
AGF Aarhus score 3+14%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Midtjylland
| 26 Jul | A | vs Sonderjyske | 3–2 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Horsens | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Lyngby | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Randers | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | AGF Aarhus (Home) | Midtjylland (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | — | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | — | 3.50 |
Home stats use AGF Aarhus's home record; away stats use Midtjylland's away record this season.