🇧🇷 Brazilian Serie A·Monday, 31 August 2026·23:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Remo | 2.09 | 2.09 |
| Draw | 3.34 | 3.34 |
| Coritiba | 3.69 | 3.69 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketRemo
46%
Draw
28%
Coritiba
26%
Remo 1.48 xGexpected goals1.11 xG Coritiba
Remo win 46% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.5%).
Remo score at least twice in 44%; Coritiba in 30%.
1–1 13.5%1–0 11.0%2–1 10.2%0–0 8.6%2–0 8.2%0–1 6.4%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.6 | 6.4 | 4.5 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 5.2 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.6 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Remo goals · columns = Coritiba goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Remo clean sheet33%
Coritiba clean sheet22%
Remo score 2+44%
Coritiba score 2+30%
Remo score 3+18%
Model vs market
| Source | Remo | Draw | Coritiba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 38% | 28% | 33% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Metis Forecast | 46% | 28% | 26% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Remo
| 28 Jan | A | vs Vitoria | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Feb | H | vs Mirassol | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Feb | A | vs Atletico-MG | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Feb | H | vs Internacional | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Mar | H | vs Fluminense | 0–2 | L |
Coritiba
| 28 Jan | H | vs Bragantino | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Feb | A | vs Cruzeiro | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Feb | A | vs Chapecoense-SC | 3–3 | D |
| 25 Feb | H | vs Sao Paulo | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Mar | A | vs Corinthians | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 15 Mar 26 | CoritibavsRemo | 1 – 0 |
Remo: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Remo (Home) | Coritiba (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 63.6% | 41.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 36.4% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 18.2% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.55 | 2.67 |
Home stats use Remo's home record; away stats use Coritiba's away record this season.