🇧🇪 Belgian Pro League·Saturday, 29 August 2026·18:45
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| OH Leuven | 2.62 | 2.62 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.55 |
| Standard Liege | 2.70 | 2.70 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketOH Leuven
37%
Draw
27%
Standard Liege
36%
OH Leuven 1.32 xGexpected goals1.25 xG Standard Liege
OH Leuven win 37% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.9%).
OH Leuven score at least twice in 38%; Standard Liege in 36%.
1–1 12.9%0–1 9.5%1–2 8.7%1–0 8.7%0–0 8.3%2–1 7.8%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.7 | 12.9 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 7.8 | 4.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = OH Leuven goals · columns = Standard Liege goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Over 4.5 goals12%
OH Leuven clean sheet29%
Standard Liege clean sheet27%
OH Leuven score 2+38%
Standard Liege score 2+36%
OH Leuven score 3+15%
Model vs market
| Source | OH Leuven | Draw | Standard Liege |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 42% | 28% | 30% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Metis Forecast | 37% | 27% | 36% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
No recent results.
Standard Liege
| 26 Jul | A | vs RAAL La Louviere | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Dender | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Genk | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs St. Gilloise | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Cercle Brugge | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | OH Leuven (Home) | Standard Liege (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 30.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 45.0% |
| Clean sheet | — | 35.0% |
| Avg goals | — | 2.35 |
Home stats use OH Leuven's home record; away stats use Standard Liege's away record this season.