🇧🇪 Belgian Pro League·Saturday, 29 August 2026·18:45
Metis Forecast
model onlyLeuven
42%
Draw
28%
Standard Liege
30%
Leuven 1.41 xGexpected goals1.15 xG Standard Liege
Leuven win 42% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.5%).
Leuven score at least twice in 41%; Standard Liege in 32%.
1–1 13.5%1–0 9.9%2–1 8.8%0–0 8.7%0–1 7.8%2–0 7.7%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.7 | 7.9 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.9 | 13.5 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.7 | 8.8 | 5.1 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 4.2 | 2.4 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Leuven goals · columns = Standard Liege goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Over 4.5 goals12%
Leuven clean sheet32%
Standard Liege clean sheet24%
Leuven score 2+41%
Standard Liege score 2+32%
Leuven score 3+17%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Standard Liege
| 26 Jul | A | vs RAAL La Louviere | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Dender | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Genk | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | vs St. Gilloise | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Cercle Brugge | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Leuven (Home) | Standard Liege (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 30.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 45.0% |
| Clean sheet | — | 35.0% |
| Avg goals | — | 2.35 |
Home stats use Leuven's home record; away stats use Standard Liege's away record this season.