🇦🇹 Austrian Bundesliga·Sunday, 30 August 2026·15:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyRapid Wien
30%
Draw
27%
Sturm Graz
44%
Rapid Wien 1.27 xGexpected goals1.57 xG Sturm Graz
Sturm Graz win 44% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.6%).
Rapid Wien score at least twice in 36%; Sturm Graz in 47%.
1–1 12.6%1–2 9.2%0–1 8.3%2–1 7.4%0–2 7.2%0–0 6.8%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 7.2 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.6 |
| 1 | 6.5 | 12.6 | 9.2 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.8 |
| 2 | 4.7 | 7.4 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.0 | 3.1 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Rapid Wien goals · columns = Sturm Graz goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score58%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals16%
Rapid Wien clean sheet21%
Sturm Graz clean sheet28%
Rapid Wien score 2+36%
Sturm Graz score 2+47%
Rapid Wien score 3+14%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Sturm Graz
| 1 Aug | A | vs WSG Tirol | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | A | vs Hartberg | 2–0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | vs SCR Altach | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs A. Lustenau | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Rapid Wien (Home) | Sturm Graz (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 0.0% |
| Clean sheet | — | 50.0% |
| Avg goals | — | 2.00 |
Home stats use Rapid Wien's home record; away stats use Sturm Graz's away record this season.