🇦🇹 Austrian Bundesliga·Sunday, 30 August 2026·15:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyHartberg
45%
Draw
28%
Ried
27%
Hartberg 1.51 xGexpected goals1.11 xG Ried
Hartberg win 45% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.2%).
Hartberg score at least twice in 45%; Ried in 30%.
1–1 13.2%1–0 10.0%2–1 9.2%2–0 8.3%0–0 8.3%0–1 7.1%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3 | 7.1 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.0 | 13.2 | 6.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.3 | 9.2 | 5.1 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Hartberg goals · columns = Ried goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Hartberg clean sheet33%
Ried clean sheet22%
Hartberg score 2+45%
Ried score 2+30%
Hartberg score 3+19%
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Recent form
Hartberg
| 1 Aug | A | vs Salzburg | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Sturm Graz | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Austria Vienna | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs SCR Altach | 2–1 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Hartberg (Home) | Ried (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 0.0% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 0.0% | — |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | — |
Home stats use Hartberg's home record; away stats use Ried's away record this season.