🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga·Monday, 31 August 2026·16:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyIlves Tampere
42%
Draw
26%
HJK Helsinki
32%
Ilves Tampere 1.63 xGexpected goals1.39 xG HJK Helsinki
Ilves Tampere win 42% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 61% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.0%).
Ilves Tampere score at least twice in 48%; HJK Helsinki in 40%.
1–1 12.0%2–1 9.0%1–2 7.7%1–0 7.1%2–0 6.5%2–2 6.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 5.9 | 4.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 12.0 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.5 | 4.9 | 3.4 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Ilves Tampere goals · columns = HJK Helsinki goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score61%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Ilves Tampere clean sheet25%
HJK Helsinki clean sheet20%
Ilves Tampere score 2+48%
HJK Helsinki score 2+40%
Ilves Tampere score 3+22%
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Head to head
No previous meetings found.