🇫🇮 Veikkausliiga·Monday, 31 August 2026·16:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyIFK Mariehamn
40%
Draw
26%
Jaro
33%
IFK Mariehamn 1.55 xGexpected goals1.39 xG Jaro
IFK Mariehamn win 40% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.3%).
IFK Mariehamn score at least twice in 46%; Jaro in 40%.
1–1 12.3%2–1 8.8%1–2 7.9%1–0 7.3%0–1 6.5%2–0 6.4%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 5.1 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.3 | 12.3 | 7.9 | 3.7 | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 8.8 | 6.1 | 2.8 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 3.2 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = IFK Mariehamn goals · columns = Jaro goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score60%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Over 4.5 goals17%
IFK Mariehamn clean sheet25%
Jaro clean sheet21%
IFK Mariehamn score 2+46%
Jaro score 2+40%
IFK Mariehamn score 3+20%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Jaro
| 4 Apr | H | vs Lahti | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Apr | A | vs VPS | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | vs KuPS | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Apr | A | vs SJK | 1–1 | D |
| 2 May | H | vs TPS | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | IFK Mariehamn (Home) | Jaro (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 30.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | — | 10.0% |
| Avg goals | — | 3.00 |
Home stats use IFK Mariehamn's home record; away stats use Jaro's away record this season.