🇹🇷 Süper Lig·Saturday, 29 August 2026·18:30
Metis Forecast
model onlyGazişehir Gaziantep
41%
Draw
28%
Rizespor
32%
Gazişehir Gaziantep 1.45 xGexpected goals1.25 xG Rizespor
Gazişehir Gaziantep win 41% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.2%).
Gazişehir Gaziantep score at least twice in 42%; Rizespor in 36%.
1–1 13.2%2–1 8.8%1–0 8.8%0–0 7.7%1–2 7.6%0–1 7.4%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.8 | 13.2 | 7.6 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 8.8 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Gazişehir Gaziantep goals · columns = Rizespor goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Over 4.5 goals14%
Gazişehir Gaziantep clean sheet29%
Rizespor clean sheet24%
Gazişehir Gaziantep score 2+42%
Rizespor score 2+36%
Gazişehir Gaziantep score 3+18%
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
No recent results.
Rizespor
| 10 Aug | H | vs Goztepe | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Alanyaspor | 0–0 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Galatasaray | 1–3 | L |
| 15 Sept | H | vs Genclerbirligi | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sept | A | vs Kocaelispor | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Gazişehir Gaziantep (Home) | Rizespor (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 64.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 58.8% |
| Clean sheet | — | 11.8% |
| Avg goals | — | 3.00 |
Home stats use Gazişehir Gaziantep's home record; away stats use Rizespor's away record this season.