🇹🇷 Süper Lig·Monday, 31 August 2026·18:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Besiktas | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Draw | 4.61 | 4.61 |
| Corum Belediyespor | 7.07 | 7.07 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketBesiktas
67%
Draw
20%
Corum Belediyespor
13%
Besiktas 2.11 xGexpected goals0.91 xG Corum Belediyespor
Besiktas win 67% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (11.6%).
Besiktas score at least twice in 64%; Corum Belediyespor in 23%.
2–1 11.6%2–0 11.4%1–0 10.8%1–1 9.4%3–1 7.5%3–0 7.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.1 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 9.4 | 3.5 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 11.4 | 11.6 | 4.3 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 7.3 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 4 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Besiktas goals · columns = Corum Belediyespor goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score54%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Besiktas clean sheet40%
Corum Belediyespor clean sheet11%
Besiktas score 2+64%
Corum Belediyespor score 2+23%
Besiktas score 3+35%
Model vs market
| Source | Besiktas | Draw | Corum Belediyespor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 64% | 23% | 12% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 67% | 20% | 13% |
| Metis Forecast | 67% | 20% | 13% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
Besiktas
| 17 Aug | H | vs Eyupspor | 2–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Alanyaspor | 0–2 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Basaksehir | 2–1 | W |
| 19 Sept | A | vs Goztepe | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Sept | A | vs Kayserispor | 4–0 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Besiktas (Home) | Corum Belediyespor (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 70.6% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 70.6% | — |
| Clean sheet | 23.5% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.94 | — |
Home stats use Besiktas's home record; away stats use Corum Belediyespor's away record this season.