🇮🇹 Serie B·Saturday, 29 August 2026·19:00

WWLWW

19:00

9th vs —

Hellas Verona

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Padova	2.98	2.98
Draw	3.10	3.10
Hellas Verona	2.67	2.67

Metis Forecast

model + market

Padova

32%

Draw

31%

Hellas Verona

36%

Padova 1.20 xGexpected goals1.21 xG Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona win 36% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 51% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (14.8%).

Padova score at least twice in 33%; Hellas Verona in 34%.

1–1 14.8%0–1 10.6%0–0 10.4%1–2 8.7%1–0 8.4%2–1 6.8%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	10.5	10.6	6.5	2.4	0.6	0.2
1	8.4	14.8	8.7	3.2	0.9	0.2
2	6.2	6.8	5.0	2.1	0.6	0.2
3	2.8	3.0	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.1
4	0.9	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0
5+	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

rows = Padova goals · columns = Hellas Verona goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score51%

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals43%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Over 4.5 goals10%

Padova clean sheet29%

Hellas Verona clean sheet31%

Padova score 2+33%

Hellas Verona score 2+34%

Padova score 3+12%

Model vs market

Source	Padova	Draw	Hellas Verona
Raw Metis model	41%	29%	29%
Market (de-vigged)	32%	31%	36%
Metis Forecast	32%	31%	36%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

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Recent form

Padova

23 Aug	A	vs Empoli	1–3	L
31 Aug	A	vs Carrarese	0–0	D
13 Sept	H	vs Frosinone	0–1	L
21 Sept	H	vs Virtus Entella	2–1	W
27 Sept	A	vs Monza	1–0	W

No recent results.

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Padova (Home)	Hellas Verona (Away)
BTTS rate	57.9%	—
Over 2.5 rate	36.8%	—
Clean sheet	26.3%	—
Avg goals	2.26	—

Home stats use Padova's home record; away stats use Hellas Verona's away record this season.

Padova →🇮🇹 Serie B standings & fixtures