๐ด๓ ง๓ ข๓ ฅ๓ ฎ๓ ง๓ ฟ Premier LeagueยทSunday, 30 August 2026ยท13:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyLeeds United
37%
Draw
28%
Brentford
35%
Leeds United 1.33 xGexpected goals1.30 xG Brentford
Leeds United win 37% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1โ1 (13.5%).
Leeds United score at least twice in 38%; Brentford in 37%.
1โ1 13.5%1โ0 8.6%0โ1 8.3%2โ1 8.3%0โ0 8.2%1โ2 8.1%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.2 | 8.3 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 13.4 | 8.1 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.4 | 8.3 | 5.4 | 2.3 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Leeds United goals ยท columns = Brentford goals ยท % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score55%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Over 4.5 goals13%
Leeds United clean sheet27%
Brentford clean sheet26%
Leeds United score 2+38%
Brentford score 2+37%
Leeds United score 3+15%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Brentford
| 17 Aug | A | vs Nottm Forest | 1โ3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Aston Villa | 1โ0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Sunderland | 1โ2 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Chelsea | 2โ2 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Fulham | 1โ3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Leeds United (Home) | Brentford (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | โ | 47.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | โ | 47.4% |
| Clean sheet | โ | 26.3% |
| Avg goals | โ | 2.79 |
Home stats use Leeds United's home record; away stats use Brentford's away record this season.