🇫🇷 Ligue 1·Saturday, 29 August 2026·15:15
Metis Forecast
model onlyStrasbourg
56%
Draw
25%
RC Lens
19%
Strasbourg 1.76 xGexpected goals0.99 xG RC Lens
Strasbourg win 56% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.0%).
Strasbourg score at least twice in 52%; RC Lens in 26%.
1–1 12.0%1–0 10.3%2–0 9.9%2–1 9.8%0–0 7.3%3–0 5.8%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.3 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 12.1 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 9.8 | 4.9 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.8 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Strasbourg goals · columns = RC Lens goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score53%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Over 4.5 goals14%
Strasbourg clean sheet37%
RC Lens clean sheet17%
Strasbourg score 2+52%
RC Lens score 2+26%
Strasbourg score 3+26%
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Recent form
Strasbourg
| 17 Aug | A | vs Metz | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | vs Nantes | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Monaco | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Le Havre | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Sept | A | vs Paris FC | 3–2 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Strasbourg (Home) | RC Lens (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 52.9% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 64.7% | — |
| Clean sheet | 41.2% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.88 | — |
Home stats use Strasbourg's home record; away stats use RC Lens's away record this season.