Metis Forecast
model onlyParis
43%
Draw
27%
Nice
30%
Paris 1.50 xGexpected goals1.22 xG Nice
Paris win 43% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.0%).
Paris score at least twice in 44%; Nice in 35%.
1–1 13.0%2–1 9.0%1–0 8.9%0–0 7.5%2–0 7.4%1–2 7.4%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.5 | 7.0 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 8.9 | 13.0 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.4 | 9.0 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Paris goals · columns = Nice goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Over 4.5 goals14%
Paris clean sheet29%
Nice clean sheet22%
Paris score 2+44%
Nice score 2+35%
Paris score 3+19%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Nice
| 16 Aug | H | vs Toulouse | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Auxerre | 3–1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Le Havre | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Nantes | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Brest | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Paris (Home) | Nice (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 64.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 58.8% |
| Clean sheet | — | 11.8% |
| Avg goals | — | 3.00 |
Home stats use Paris's home record; away stats use Nice's away record this season.