🇪🇸 La Liga 2·Saturday, 29 August 2026·17:00

WWWWL

17:00

12th vs —

Real Oviedo

Odds comparison

Market	Pinnacle	Best
Albacete	2.51	2.51
Draw	3.13	3.13
Real Oviedo	3.17	3.17

Metis Forecast

model + market

Albacete

39%

Draw

31%

Real Oviedo

30%

Albacete 1.31 xGexpected goals1.14 xG Real Oviedo

Albacete win 39% of the current Metis Forecast.

Both teams score in 51% of simulations.

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (14.7%).

Albacete score at least twice in 38%; Real Oviedo in 31%.

1–1 14.7%0–0 10.1%1–0 9.9%0–1 8.5%2–1 8.2%2–0 7.2%

Scoreline distribution

	0	1	2	3	4	5+
0	10.1	8.5	5.4	2.0	0.6	0.2
1	9.9	14.7	7.2	2.7	0.8	0.2
2	7.2	8.2	5.1	1.8	0.5	0.1
3	3.2	3.7	2.1	0.9	0.2	0.1
4	1.1	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0
5+	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

rows = Albacete goals · columns = Real Oviedo goals · % of simulations

Match outcomes

Both teams score51%

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals44%

Over 3.5 goals23%

Over 4.5 goals10%

Albacete clean sheet32%

Real Oviedo clean sheet27%

Albacete score 2+38%

Real Oviedo score 2+31%

Albacete score 3+15%

Model vs market

Source	Albacete	Draw	Real Oviedo
Raw Metis model	40%	29%	31%
Market (de-vigged)	39%	31%	30%
Metis Forecast	39%	31%	30%

The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.

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Recent form

Albacete

18 Aug	A	vs Almeria	4–4	D
25 Aug	H	vs Santander	2–3	L
31 Aug	A	vs Cadiz	1–2	L
5 Sept	H	vs Mirandes	1–4	L
15 Sept	A	vs Zaragoza	0–0	D

No recent results.

Head to head

No previous meetings found.

Model context

Stat	Albacete (Home)	Real Oviedo (Away)
BTTS rate	66.7%	—
Over 2.5 rate	57.1%	—
Clean sheet	23.8%	—
Avg goals	2.95	—

Home stats use Albacete's home record; away stats use Real Oviedo's away record this season.

Albacete →🇪🇸 La Liga 2 standings & fixtures