🇬🇷 Super League Greece·Sunday, 30 August 2026·18:00
Metis Forecast
model onlyAsteras Tripolis
37%
Draw
30%
Olympiakos Piraeus
33%
Asteras Tripolis 1.24 xGexpected goals1.16 xG Olympiakos Piraeus
Asteras Tripolis win 37% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (14.1%).
Asteras Tripolis score at least twice in 35%; Olympiakos Piraeus in 32%.
1–1 14.1%1–0 10.2%0–0 10.1%0–1 9.4%2–1 8.1%1–2 7.6%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.1 | 9.5 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.2 | 14.1 | 7.6 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.0 | 8.1 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Asteras Tripolis goals · columns = Olympiakos Piraeus goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score50%
Over 1.5 goals70%
Over 2.5 goals43%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Over 4.5 goals10%
Asteras Tripolis clean sheet31%
Olympiakos Piraeus clean sheet29%
Asteras Tripolis score 2+35%
Olympiakos Piraeus score 2+32%
Asteras Tripolis score 3+13%
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Recent form
Asteras Tripolis
| 23 Aug | A | vs Olympiakos | 0–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | A | vs AEK | 0–1 | L |
| 14 Sept | H | vs Larisa | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Sept | A | vs Volos NFC | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Sept | H | vs PAOK | 3–3 | D |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Asteras Tripolis (Home) | Olympiakos Piraeus (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 55.6% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 55.6% | — |
| Clean sheet | 22.2% | — |
| Avg goals | 2.72 | — |
Home stats use Asteras Tripolis's home record; away stats use Olympiakos Piraeus's away record this season.