🇬🇷 Super League Greece·Sunday, 30 August 2026·16:30
Metis Forecast
model onlyAris Thessaloniki
47%
Draw
28%
OFI Crete
25%
Aris Thessaloniki 1.49 xGexpected goals1.03 xG OFI Crete
Aris Thessaloniki win 47% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 51% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13.3%).
Aris Thessaloniki score at least twice in 44%; OFI Crete in 28%.
1–1 13.3%1–0 11.0%2–1 9.2%0–0 9.0%2–0 8.9%0–1 7.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.0 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.0 | 13.3 | 6.4 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 8.9 | 9.2 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 4.4 | 4.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
rows = Aris Thessaloniki goals · columns = OFI Crete goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score51%
Over 1.5 goals73%
Over 2.5 goals46%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Over 4.5 goals11%
Aris Thessaloniki clean sheet36%
OFI Crete clean sheet23%
Aris Thessaloniki score 2+44%
OFI Crete score 2+28%
Aris Thessaloniki score 3+19%
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Recent form
No recent results.
OFI Crete
| 30 Aug | A | vs Panserraikos | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sept | H | vs PAOK | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Sept | A | vs Levadeiakos | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Sept | H | vs Kifisia | 1–3 | L |
| 4 Oct | H | vs Aris | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Aris Thessaloniki (Home) | OFI Crete (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 62.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | — | 12.5% |
| Avg goals | — | 3.31 |
Home stats use Aris Thessaloniki's home record; away stats use OFI Crete's away record this season.