🇩🇪 2. Bundesliga·Sunday, 30 August 2026·11:30
Metis Forecast
model only1. FC Magdeburg
49%
Draw
25%
Holstein Kiel
26%
1. FC Magdeburg 1.78 xGexpected goals1.27 xG Holstein Kiel
1. FC Magdeburg win 49% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 61% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.6%).
1. FC Magdeburg score at least twice in 53%; Holstein Kiel in 36%.
1–1 11.6%2–1 9.5%1–0 7.6%2–0 7.5%1–2 6.8%2–2 6.0%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 5.2 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.6 | 11.6 | 6.8 | 2.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.5 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 4.5 | 5.7 | 3.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = 1. FC Magdeburg goals · columns = Holstein Kiel goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score61%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Over 4.5 goals19%
1. FC Magdeburg clean sheet28%
Holstein Kiel clean sheet17%
1. FC Magdeburg score 2+53%
Holstein Kiel score 2+36%
1. FC Magdeburg score 3+26%
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Recent form
No recent results.
Holstein Kiel
| 2 Aug | A | vs Paderborn | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Aug | H | vs Bielefeld | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Greuther Furth | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Hannover | 1–2 | L |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Schalke 04 | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | 1. FC Magdeburg (Home) | Holstein Kiel (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | — | 70.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | — | 58.8% |
| Clean sheet | — | 17.6% |
| Avg goals | — | 3.00 |
Home stats use 1. FC Magdeburg's home record; away stats use Holstein Kiel's away record this season.