🇩🇪 Bundesliga·Saturday, 29 August 2026·13:30
FSV Mainz 05
vs
13:30
SC Paderborn
Metis Forecast
model onlyFSV Mainz 05
43%
Draw
26%
SC Paderborn
32%
FSV Mainz 05 1.65 xGexpected goals1.40 xG SC Paderborn
FSV Mainz 05 win 43% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 62% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.8%).
FSV Mainz 05 score at least twice in 49%; SC Paderborn in 41%.
1–1 11.8%2–1 9.0%1–2 7.6%1–0 6.9%2–0 6.5%2–2 6.3%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 4.6 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 6.9 | 11.8 | 7.6 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.5 | 9.0 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = FSV Mainz 05 goals · columns = SC Paderborn goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score62%
Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Over 4.5 goals19%
FSV Mainz 05 clean sheet25%
SC Paderborn clean sheet19%
FSV Mainz 05 score 2+49%
SC Paderborn score 2+41%
FSV Mainz 05 score 3+23%
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Head to head
No previous meetings found.