🇩🇪 Bundesliga·Sunday, 30 August 2026·15:30
Metis Forecast
model onlyAugsburg
44%
Draw
26%
FC Schalke 04
30%
Augsburg 1.65 xGexpected goals1.34 xG FC Schalke 04
Augsburg win 44% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12.0%).
Augsburg score at least twice in 49%; FC Schalke 04 in 39%.
1–1 12.0%2–1 9.2%1–2 7.5%1–0 7.4%2–0 6.8%2–2 6.1%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9 | 5.9 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.4 | 12.0 | 7.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 9.2 | 6.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.8 | 5.0 | 3.4 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Augsburg goals · columns = FC Schalke 04 goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score60%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals57%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Over 4.5 goals18%
Augsburg clean sheet26%
FC Schalke 04 clean sheet19%
Augsburg score 2+49%
FC Schalke 04 score 2+39%
Augsburg score 3+23%
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Recent form
Augsburg
| 23 Aug | A | vs Freiburg | 3–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Bayern Munich | 2–3 | L |
| 14 Sept | A | vs St. Pauli | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sept | H | vs Mainz 05 | 1–4 | L |
| 27 Sept | A | vs FC Heidenheim | 1–2 | L |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Augsburg (Home) | FC Schalke 04 (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 58.8% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 52.9% | — |
| Clean sheet | 29.4% | — |
| Avg goals | 3.12 | — |
Home stats use Augsburg's home record; away stats use FC Schalke 04's away record this season.