🇧🇪 Belgian Pro League·Saturday, 29 August 2026·18:45
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Draw | 4.54 | 4.54 |
| Lommel | 5.50 | 5.50 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketCercle Brugge
62%
Draw
21%
Lommel
17%
Cercle Brugge 1.85 xGexpected goals1.01 xG Lommel
Cercle Brugge win 62% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (13.1%).
Cercle Brugge score at least twice in 58%; Lommel in 26%.
2–1 13.1%1–0 12.2%2–0 10.4%1–1 9.9%3–1 6.7%0–0 5.5%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 12.2 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 13.1 | 4.4 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.4 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Cercle Brugge goals · columns = Lommel goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score55%
Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Over 4.5 goals16%
Cercle Brugge clean sheet36%
Lommel clean sheet14%
Cercle Brugge score 2+58%
Lommel score 2+26%
Cercle Brugge score 3+28%
Model vs market
| Source | Cercle Brugge | Draw | Lommel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 62% | 21% | 17% |
| Metis Forecast | 62% | 21% | 17% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Recent form
Cercle Brugge
| 26 Jul | A | vs Dender | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Aug | H | vs Anderlecht | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Club Brugge | 0–2 | L |
| 17 Aug | H | vs Westerlo | 4–1 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Standard Liege | 3–0 | W |
No recent results.
Head to head
No previous meetings found.
Model context
| Stat | Cercle Brugge (Home) | Lommel (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 77.8% | — |
| Over 2.5 rate | 72.2% | — |
| Clean sheet | 11.1% | — |
| Avg goals | 3.39 | — |
Home stats use Cercle Brugge's home record; away stats use Lommel's away record this season.