Orlando City and Philadelphia Union meet with neither side carrying much momentum, sitting 26th and 28th respectively in the MLS standings. Orlando's home form reads W-L-W-L-D in reverse, a frustratingly inconsistent picture, while Philadelphia have managed just one win in their last five away from home. With no previous meetings between these sides to draw on, there is genuine uncertainty about how this one shapes up tactically.

The goal data is hard to ignore here. Orlando have seen both teams score and over 2.5 goals in 80% of their home matches this season, well above the league average of 58% and 60% respectively. Philadelphia contribute to that picture away from home too, keeping zero clean sheets on the road and conceding an average of two goals per away game. The data suggests this is a fixture where goals are likely on both sides.

This looks like a high-scoring, open affair between two defensively vulnerable sides, and the visitors are not quite the underdogs their league position implies.